MLB Game Previews — Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Generated from LyDia's daily engine after pitcher matchup, bullpen fatigue, market pricing, and Lab Score are calculated.

Updated by LyDia · 15 games · 7 official picks.

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Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals

6:45 PM ET · Tatsuya Imai vs Andrew Alvarez
Official Pick
LyDia side
Washington Nationals
Lab Score
88/100
Model probability
73.4%
Market probability
55.3%
Model vs market
+18.1%
Current price
-130
Pitcher edge
Washington Nationals (gap 23)
Bullpen read
Neutral
ReadWashington Nationals cleared the model, market, pitcher, and bullpen checks with a Lab Score of 88.
Risk noteNo model can see every live lineup, injury, or late bullpen availability update. Recheck official news before first pitch.

Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox

7:40 PM ET · Payton Tolle vs Noah Schultz
Official Pick
LyDia side
Boston Red Sox
Lab Score
88/100
Model probability
61.5%
Market probability
46.6%
Model vs market
+15.0%
Current price
+113
Pitcher edge
Boston Red Sox (gap 26)
Bullpen read
Neutral
ReadBoston Red Sox cleared the model, market, pitcher, and bullpen checks with a Lab Score of 88.
Risk noteNo model can see every live lineup, injury, or late bullpen availability update. Recheck official news before first pitch.

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers

10:10 PM ET · Michael Lorenzen vs Justin Wrobleski
Official Pick
LyDia side
Los Angeles Dodgers
Lab Score
88/100
Model probability
87.1%
Market probability
66.1%
Model vs market
+21.0%
Current price
-212
Pitcher edge
Los Angeles Dodgers (gap 46)
Bullpen read
Neutral
ReadLos Angeles Dodgers cleared the model, market, pitcher, and bullpen checks with a Lab Score of 88.
Risk noteNo model can see every live lineup, injury, or late bullpen availability update. Recheck official news before first pitch.

Athletics @ Detroit Tigers

6:40 PM ET · J.T. Ginn vs Tarik Skubal
Official Pick
LyDia side
Detroit Tigers
Lab Score
79/100
Model probability
66.9%
Market probability
58.7%
Model vs market
+8.2%
Current price
-148
Pitcher edge
Detroit Tigers (gap 8)
Bullpen read
Supports LyDia side
ReadDetroit Tigers cleared the model, market, pitcher, and bullpen checks with a Lab Score of 79.
Risk noteNo model can see every live lineup, injury, or late bullpen availability update. Recheck official news before first pitch.

Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers

8:05 PM ET · José Soriano vs Jacob deGrom
Official Pick
LyDia side
Texas Rangers
Lab Score
76/100
Model probability
67.0%
Market probability
58.6%
Model vs market
+8.5%
Current price
-146
Pitcher edge
Texas Rangers (gap 10)
Bullpen read
Neutral
ReadTexas Rangers cleared the model, market, pitcher, and bullpen checks with a Lab Score of 76.
Risk noteNo model can see every live lineup, injury, or late bullpen availability update. Recheck official news before first pitch.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

9:40 PM ET · Zac Gallen vs Germán Márquez
Official Pick
LyDia side
Arizona Diamondbacks
Lab Score
70/100
Model probability
55.6%
Market probability
42.0%
Model vs market
+13.6%
Current price
+133
Pitcher edge
No clear SP edge (gap 2)
Bullpen read
Neutral
ReadArizona Diamondbacks cleared the model, market, pitcher, and bullpen checks with a Lab Score of 70.
Risk noteNo model can see every live lineup, injury, or late bullpen availability update. Recheck official news before first pitch.

New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays

6:40 PM ET · Will Warren vs Ian Seymour
Watchlist
LyDia side
Tampa Bay Rays
Lab Score
65/100
Model probability
60.6%
Market probability
53.3%
Model vs market
+7.3%
Current price
-120
Pitcher edge
No clear SP edge (gap 2)
Bullpen read
Adds caution
ReadTampa Bay Rays did not fully clear the official threshold, but the Lab Score keeps this game on the watchlist.
Risk notePrimary caution: bullpen fatigue adds late-game caution. Recheck official news before first pitch.

Atlanta Braves @ Pittsburgh Pirates

6:40 PM ET · Hurston Waldrep vs Paul Skenes
Pass
LyDia side
Pittsburgh Pirates
Lab Score
56/100
Model probability
53.6%
Market probability
51.7%
Model vs market
+1.8%
Current price
-110
Pitcher edge
Pittsburgh Pirates (gap 26)
Bullpen read
Neutral
ReadModel and market are too close for a clear official pick.
Pass reasonModel and market are too close for a clear official pick.

Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles

6:35 PM ET · Matthew Boyd vs Shane Baz
Pass
LyDia side
Chicago Cubs
Lab Score
50/100
Model probability
55.0%
Market probability
49.5%
Model vs market
+5.5%
Current price
-102
Pitcher edge
Baltimore Orioles (gap 7)
Bullpen read
Adds caution
ReadBullpen fatigue adds too much late-game caution.
Pass reasonBullpen fatigue adds too much late-game caution.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds

7:10 PM ET · Zack Wheeler vs Andrew Abbott
Pass
LyDia side
Philadelphia Phillies
Lab Score
40/100
Model probability
58.6%
Market probability
60.7%
Model vs market
-2.1%
Current price
-163
Pitcher edge
Philadelphia Phillies (gap 22)
Bullpen read
Adds caution
ReadMarket is higher than LyDia's model probability.
Pass reasonMarket is higher than LyDia's model probability.

Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins

7:40 PM ET · Joey Cantillo vs Taj Bradley
Pass
LyDia side
Minnesota Twins
Lab Score
40/100
Model probability
56.0%
Market probability
54.9%
Model vs market
+1.2%
Current price
-130
Pitcher edge
No clear SP edge (gap 3)
Bullpen read
Supports LyDia side
ReadModel and market are too close for a clear official pick.
Pass reasonModel and market are too close for a clear official pick.

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

7:45 PM ET · Robert Gasser vs Hunter Dobbins
Pass
LyDia side
Milwaukee Brewers
Lab Score
40/100
Model probability
57.1%
Market probability
54.7%
Model vs market
+2.4%
Current price
-123
Pitcher edge
No clear SP edge (gap 3)
Bullpen read
Neutral
ReadModel and market are too close for a clear official pick.
Pass reasonModel and market are too close for a clear official pick.

Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants

9:45 PM ET · Spencer Miles vs Trevor McDonald
Pass
LyDia side
San Francisco Giants
Lab Score
28/100
Model probability
50.9%
Market probability
50.2%
Model vs market
+0.6%
Current price
-102
Pitcher edge
Toronto Blue Jays (gap 16)
Bullpen read
Neutral
ReadModel and market are too close for a clear official pick.
Pass reasonModel and market are too close for a clear official pick.

Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets

7:10 PM ET · Seth Lugo vs TBD
Pass
LyDia side
New York Mets
Lab Score
22/100
Model probability
57.2%
Market probability
57.5%
Model vs market
-0.3%
Current price
-141
Pitcher edge
Kansas City Royals (gap 10)
Bullpen read
Neutral
ReadMarket is higher than LyDia's model probability.
Pass reasonMarket is higher than LyDia's model probability.