Results
Current official LyDia picks are moneyline-only and require both a high model probability and a strong Lab Score. If the listed starting pitcher is scratched after a pick is published, the pick is voided (∅) — the standard sportsbook listed-pitcher rule — and stays visible without counting in the record. Older results may include legacy totals and run-line outputs from earlier model versions. Wins, losses, and voids alike stay visible.
Today's Pick Status
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OFFICIAL RECORD (moneyline model)
3-1
75.0% win rate
ALL GRADED MARKETS (incl. legacy)
32-16
66.7% win rate
UNITS (flat 1u @ best price)
+13.29
DAYS TRACKED
7
Current official model: moneyline only. Legacy history: earlier records may show totals or run lines. Learning fields are stored in
data/results.json and data/clv/clv_log.csv for process review.
| Date | Record | Win% | Units | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | 0-0 | — | — | 0 published pick groups |
| Jul 11, 2026 | 1-0 | 100% | +0.56 | 1 published pick group✅ ML Minnesota Twins (79%, -177) — Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins · 3-5 · result win price warning |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 1-1 | 50% | -0.36 | 2 published pick groups✅ ML Chicago White Sox (78%, -157) — Athletics @ Chicago White Sox · 1-14 · win needs more sample ❌ ML Minnesota Twins (75%, -148) — Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins · 4-3 · good price bad result |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 1-0 | 100% | +0.76 | 1 published pick group✅ ML Detroit Tigers (81%, -132) — Athletics @ Detroit Tigers · 1-4 · good process win |
| Jul 8, 2026 (legacy markets) | 16-6 | 73% | +10.74 | 15 published pick groupsNo official play — Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants ✅ ML Chicago Cubs (57%, +115) · ✅ Total Over 9.5 — Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles · 9-7 ✅ ML Detroit Tigers (83%, -137) · ❌ Total Over 9 · ✅ RL Detroit Tigers -1.5 — Athletics @ Detroit Tigers · 1-6 ❌ ML Pittsburgh Pirates (53%, +101) — Atlanta Braves @ Pittsburgh Pirates · 3-0 ✅ ML Miami Marlins (58%, +125) · ✅ Total Under 8 · ✅ RL Miami Marlins +1.5 — Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins · 0-2 ❌ Total Over 3.5 · ❌ RL New York Yankees +2.5 — New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays · 0-3 ✅ Total Under 12.5 · ✅ RL Houston Astros +7.5 — Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals · 2-8 ✅ ML New York Mets (64%, -140) · ✅ RL New York Mets -1.5 — Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets · 2-6 ✅ ML Cincinnati Reds (51%, +147) · ❌ Total Under 9.5 · ✅ RL Cincinnati Reds +1.5 — Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds · 5-11 ⏸ ML Minnesota Twins (55%, +114) · ⏸ Total Over 8.5 — Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins ✅ ML Boston Red Sox (55%, +106) · ✅ Total Under 9 — Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox · 5-0 ❌ ML Milwaukee Brewers (66%, -121) · ✅ Total Under 8.5 — Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals · 1-5 ⏸ ML Texas Rangers (64%, -141) · ⏸ Total Over 7 · ⏸ RL Los Angeles Angels +1.5 — Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers ⏸ Total Over 10 · ⏸ RL Colorado Rockies +1.5 — Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers ⏸ ML Arizona Diamondbacks (50%, +108) · ⏸ Total Under 9 — Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres |
| Jul 7, 2026 (legacy markets) | 4-3 | 57% | +0.33 | 7 published pick groups✅ ML Miami Marlins (63%, -119) — Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins · 5-6 ❌ ML Washington Nationals (73%, -130) — Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals · 6-3 ✅ ML Boston Red Sox (62%, +113) — Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox · 8-1 ❌ ML Los Angeles Dodgers (87%, -212) — Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers · 4-3 ✅ ML Detroit Tigers (67%, -148) — Athletics @ Detroit Tigers · 2-6 ✅ ML Texas Rangers (67%, -146) — Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers · 3-8 ❌ ML Arizona Diamondbacks (56%, +133) — Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres · 1-4 |
| Jul 6, 2026 (legacy markets) | 9-6 | 60% | +1.26 | 8 published pick groupsNo official play — Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals ❌ ML Tampa Bay Rays (64%, -118) · ✅ Total Under 8 — New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays · 5-1 ✅ ML Washington Nationals (56%, -118) · ✅ Total Over 9 · ✅ RL Washington Nationals +1.5 — Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals · 11-12 ❌ ML Atlanta Braves (75%, -119) · ❌ RL Atlanta Braves -1.5 — New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves · 7-6 ✅ ML Milwaukee Brewers (67%, -109) · ❌ RL Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 — Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals · 4-3 ❌ Total Over 8.5 — Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres · 8-0 ✅ ML San Francisco Giants (53%, -104) · ✅ Total Over 7.5 — Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants · 1-10 ✅ ML Los Angeles Dodgers (80%, -250) · ✅ Total Over 9 · ❌ RL Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 — Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers · 7-8 |
Picks are published to dated locked files before grading. The official record is rebuilt from those dated files after games finish, so the history has a public timestamp trail.
A reminder that even good models have losing stretches: judge the process over hundreds of picks, not a hot or cold week.
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