LyDia's Lab
Totals Projections
How many runs should each game produce? Every projection blends both lineups' scoring, the opposing starters' skill (FIP-based), the ballpark, and bullpen condition — next to the market's over/under.
How to read it: the projection is a median expectation — real games land within ±2.5 runs of it routinely, so only lean when the gap to the line is 0.5+ runs, and treat leans as research, not picks. Market lines are captured each morning and kept all day (re-captured only if a starter changes) — edit the line box if your book differs or before the capture lands. Every projection is graded in public against the final score — this tool earns trust or loses it in the open.
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